## Regression Statistics for “Did the % of Party Affiliation by County in California Have an Effect on the % of the Vote each Candidate Won?”

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) + intercept ) |

Number of modeled observations: | 58 |

Number of filtered observations: | 0 |

Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |

Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |

SSE (sum squared error): | 0.128169 |

MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0022887 |

R-Squared: | 0.589501 |

Standard error: | 0.0478408 |

p-value (significance): | < 0.0001 |

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) + intercept ) |

Number of modeled observations: | 58 |

Number of filtered observations: | 0 |

Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |

Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |

SSE (sum squared error): | 0.13441 |

MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0024002 |

R-Squared: | 0.553057 |

Standard error: | 0.0489917 |

p-value (significance): | < 0.0001 |

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (Republican).

Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (Republican) + intercept ) |

Number of modeled observations: | 58 |

Number of filtered observations: | 0 |

Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |

Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |

SSE (sum squared error): | 0.299488 |

MSE (mean squared error): | 0.005348 |

R-Squared: | 0.0408042 |

Standard error: | 0.07313 |

p-value (significance): | 0.128354 |

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (Republican).

Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (Republican) + intercept ) |

Number of modeled observations: | 58 |

Number of filtered observations: | 0 |

Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |

Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |

SSE (sum squared error): | 0.29683 |

MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0053005 |

R-Squared: | 0.0129778 |

Standard error: | 0.0728047 |

p-value (significance): | 0.394503 |

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference).

Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) + intercept ) |

Number of modeled observations: | 58 |

Number of filtered observations: | 0 |

Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |

Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |

SSE (sum squared error): | 0.312222 |

MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0055754 |

R-Squared: | 2.076e-05 |

Standard error: | 0.0746685 |

p-value (significance): | 0.972921 |

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference).

Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) + intercept ) |

Number of modeled observations: | 58 |

Number of filtered observations: | 0 |

Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |

Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |

SSE (sum squared error): | 0.299712 |

MSE (mean squared error): | 0.005352 |

R-Squared: | 0.0033926 |

Standard error: | 0.0731574 |

p-value (significance): | 0.664071 |

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (Democratic). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (Democratic) + intercept ) |

Number of modeled observations: | 58 |

Number of filtered observations: | 0 |

Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |

Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |

SSE (sum squared error): | 0.275387 |

MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0049176 |

R-Squared: | 0.117994 |

Standard error: | 0.0701258 |

p-value (significance): | 0.0082918 |

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (Democratic). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

Model formula: | ( % of Registered Voters (Democratic) + intercept ) |

Number of modeled observations: | 58 |

Number of filtered observations: | 0 |

Model degrees of freedom: | 2 |

Residual degrees of freedom (DF): | 56 |

SSE (sum squared error): | 0.280526 |

MSE (mean squared error): | 0.0050094 |

R-Squared: | 0.0671893 |

Standard error: | 0.0707771 |

p-value (significance): | 0.0494341 |

Individual trend lines:

Panes | Line | Coefficients | ||||||

Row | Column | p-value | DF | Term | Value | StdErr | t-value | p-value |

% of Vote For Clinton | % of Registered Voters (Democratic) | 0.0082918 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (Democratic) | 0.271673 | 0.0992561 | 2.73709 | 0.0082918 |

intercept | 0.407693 | 0.0397691 | 10.2515 | < 0.0001 | ||||

% of Vote For Clinton | % of Registered Voters (Republican) | 0.128354 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (Republican) | -0.144907 | 0.0938848 | -1.54345 | 0.128354 |

intercept | 0.562472 | 0.0330969 | 16.9947 | < 0.0001 | ||||

% of Vote For Clinton | % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) | 0.972921 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) | -0.0116804 | 0.342562 | -0.0340972 | 0.972921 |

intercept | 0.516132 | 0.0753021 | 6.85415 | < 0.0001 | ||||

% of Vote For Clinton | % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) | < 0.0001 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) | -3.90505 | 0.435459 | -8.96768 | < 0.0001 |

intercept | 0.727985 | 0.0247195 | 29.4499 | < 0.0001 | ||||

% of Vote for Sanders | % of Registered Voters (Democratic) | 0.0494341 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (Democratic) | -0.201196 | 0.100178 | -2.00839 | 0.0494341 |

intercept | 0.549906 | 0.0401385 | 13.7002 | < 0.0001 | ||||

% of Vote for Sanders | % of Registered Voters (Republican) | 0.394503 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (Republican) | 0.0802029 | 0.0934672 | 0.858086 | 0.394503 |

intercept | 0.444425 | 0.0329497 | 13.488 | < 0.0001 | ||||

% of Vote for Sanders | % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) | 0.664071 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) | 0.14654 | 0.335629 | 0.436613 | 0.664071 |

intercept | 0.439544 | 0.0737782 | 5.95765 | < 0.0001 | ||||

% of Vote for Sanders | % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) | < 0.0001 | 56 | % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) | 3.71213 | 0.445934 | 8.32439 | < 0.0001 |

intercept | 0.267676 | 0.0253142 | 10.5741 | < 0.0001 |