Regression Statistics for “Did the % of Party Affiliation by County in California Have an Effect on the % of the Vote each Candidate Won?”

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Regression Statistics for “Did the % of Party Affiliation by County in California Have an Effect on the % of the Vote each Candidate Won?”

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) + intercept )
Number of modeled observations: 58
Number of filtered observations: 0
Model degrees of freedom: 2
Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56
SSE (sum squared error): 0.128169
MSE (mean squared error): 0.0022887
R-Squared: 0.589501
Standard error: 0.0478408
p-value (significance): < 0.0001

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) + intercept )
Number of modeled observations: 58
Number of filtered observations: 0
Model degrees of freedom: 2
Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56
SSE (sum squared error): 0.13441
MSE (mean squared error): 0.0024002
R-Squared: 0.553057
Standard error: 0.0489917
p-value (significance): < 0.0001

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (Republican).

Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (Republican) + intercept )
Number of modeled observations: 58
Number of filtered observations: 0
Model degrees of freedom: 2
Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56
SSE (sum squared error): 0.299488
MSE (mean squared error): 0.005348
R-Squared: 0.0408042
Standard error: 0.07313
p-value (significance): 0.128354

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (Republican).

Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (Republican) + intercept )
Number of modeled observations: 58
Number of filtered observations: 0
Model degrees of freedom: 2
Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56
SSE (sum squared error): 0.29683
MSE (mean squared error): 0.0053005
R-Squared: 0.0129778
Standard error: 0.0728047
p-value (significance): 0.394503

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference).

Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) + intercept )
Number of modeled observations: 58
Number of filtered observations: 0
Model degrees of freedom: 2
Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56
SSE (sum squared error): 0.312222
MSE (mean squared error): 0.0055754
R-Squared: 2.076e-05
Standard error: 0.0746685
p-value (significance): 0.972921

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference).

Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) + intercept )
Number of modeled observations: 58
Number of filtered observations: 0
Model degrees of freedom: 2
Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56
SSE (sum squared error): 0.299712
MSE (mean squared error): 0.005352
R-Squared: 0.0033926
Standard error: 0.0731574
p-value (significance): 0.664071

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (Democratic). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (Democratic) + intercept )
Number of modeled observations: 58
Number of filtered observations: 0
Model degrees of freedom: 2
Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56
SSE (sum squared error): 0.275387
MSE (mean squared error): 0.0049176
R-Squared: 0.117994
Standard error: 0.0701258
p-value (significance): 0.0082918

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (Democratic). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (Democratic) + intercept )
Number of modeled observations: 58
Number of filtered observations: 0
Model degrees of freedom: 2
Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56
SSE (sum squared error): 0.280526
MSE (mean squared error): 0.0050094
R-Squared: 0.0671893
Standard error: 0.0707771
p-value (significance): 0.0494341

Individual trend lines:

Panes Line Coefficients
Row Column p-value DF Term Value StdErr t-value p-value
% of Vote For Clinton % of Registered Voters (Democratic) 0.0082918 56 % of Registered Voters (Democratic) 0.271673 0.0992561 2.73709 0.0082918
intercept 0.407693 0.0397691 10.2515 < 0.0001
% of Vote For Clinton % of Registered Voters (Republican) 0.128354 56 % of Registered Voters (Republican) -0.144907 0.0938848 -1.54345 0.128354
intercept 0.562472 0.0330969 16.9947 < 0.0001
% of Vote For Clinton % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) 0.972921 56 % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) -0.0116804 0.342562 -0.0340972 0.972921
intercept 0.516132 0.0753021 6.85415 < 0.0001
% of Vote For Clinton % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) < 0.0001 56 % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) -3.90505 0.435459 -8.96768 < 0.0001
intercept 0.727985 0.0247195 29.4499 < 0.0001
% of Vote for Sanders % of Registered Voters (Democratic) 0.0494341 56 % of Registered Voters (Democratic) -0.201196 0.100178 -2.00839 0.0494341
intercept 0.549906 0.0401385 13.7002 < 0.0001
% of Vote for Sanders % of Registered Voters (Republican) 0.394503 56 % of Registered Voters (Republican) 0.0802029 0.0934672 0.858086 0.394503
intercept 0.444425 0.0329497 13.488 < 0.0001
% of Vote for Sanders % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) 0.664071 56 % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) 0.14654 0.335629 0.436613 0.664071
intercept 0.439544 0.0737782 5.95765 < 0.0001
% of Vote for Sanders % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) < 0.0001 56 % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) 3.71213 0.445934 8.32439 < 0.0001
intercept 0.267676 0.0253142 10.5741 < 0.0001
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