## Regression Statistics for “Did the % of Party Affiliation by County in California Have an Effect on the % of the Vote each Candidate Won?”

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

 Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) + intercept ) Number of modeled observations: 58 Number of filtered observations: 0 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56 SSE (sum squared error): 0.128169 MSE (mean squared error): 0.0022887 R-Squared: 0.589501 Standard error: 0.0478408 p-value (significance): < 0.0001

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

 Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) + intercept ) Number of modeled observations: 58 Number of filtered observations: 0 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56 SSE (sum squared error): 0.13441 MSE (mean squared error): 0.0024002 R-Squared: 0.553057 Standard error: 0.0489917 p-value (significance): < 0.0001

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (Republican).

 Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (Republican) + intercept ) Number of modeled observations: 58 Number of filtered observations: 0 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56 SSE (sum squared error): 0.299488 MSE (mean squared error): 0.005348 R-Squared: 0.0408042 Standard error: 0.07313 p-value (significance): 0.128354

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (Republican).

 Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (Republican) + intercept ) Number of modeled observations: 58 Number of filtered observations: 0 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56 SSE (sum squared error): 0.29683 MSE (mean squared error): 0.0053005 R-Squared: 0.0129778 Standard error: 0.0728047 p-value (significance): 0.394503

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference).

 Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) + intercept ) Number of modeled observations: 58 Number of filtered observations: 0 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56 SSE (sum squared error): 0.312222 MSE (mean squared error): 0.0055754 R-Squared: 2.076e-05 Standard error: 0.0746685 p-value (significance): 0.972921

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference).

 Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) + intercept ) Number of modeled observations: 58 Number of filtered observations: 0 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56 SSE (sum squared error): 0.299712 MSE (mean squared error): 0.005352 R-Squared: 0.0033926 Standard error: 0.0731574 p-value (significance): 0.664071

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote For Clinton given % of Registered Voters (Democratic). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

 Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (Democratic) + intercept ) Number of modeled observations: 58 Number of filtered observations: 0 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56 SSE (sum squared error): 0.275387 MSE (mean squared error): 0.0049176 R-Squared: 0.117994 Standard error: 0.0701258 p-value (significance): 0.0082918

A linear trend model is computed for sum of % of Vote for Sanders given % of Registered Voters (Democratic). The model may be significant at p <= 0.05.

 Model formula: ( % of Registered Voters (Democratic) + intercept ) Number of modeled observations: 58 Number of filtered observations: 0 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Residual degrees of freedom (DF): 56 SSE (sum squared error): 0.280526 MSE (mean squared error): 0.0050094 R-Squared: 0.0671893 Standard error: 0.0707771 p-value (significance): 0.0494341

Individual trend lines:

 Panes Line Coefficients Row Column p-value DF Term Value StdErr t-value p-value % of Vote For Clinton % of Registered Voters (Democratic) 0.0082918 56 % of Registered Voters (Democratic) 0.271673 0.0992561 2.73709 0.0082918 intercept 0.407693 0.0397691 10.2515 < 0.0001 % of Vote For Clinton % of Registered Voters (Republican) 0.128354 56 % of Registered Voters (Republican) -0.144907 0.0938848 -1.54345 0.128354 intercept 0.562472 0.0330969 16.9947 < 0.0001 % of Vote For Clinton % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) 0.972921 56 % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) -0.0116804 0.342562 -0.0340972 0.972921 intercept 0.516132 0.0753021 6.85415 < 0.0001 % of Vote For Clinton % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) < 0.0001 56 % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) -3.90505 0.435459 -8.96768 < 0.0001 intercept 0.727985 0.0247195 29.4499 < 0.0001 % of Vote for Sanders % of Registered Voters (Democratic) 0.0494341 56 % of Registered Voters (Democratic) -0.201196 0.100178 -2.00839 0.0494341 intercept 0.549906 0.0401385 13.7002 < 0.0001 % of Vote for Sanders % of Registered Voters (Republican) 0.394503 56 % of Registered Voters (Republican) 0.0802029 0.0934672 0.858086 0.394503 intercept 0.444425 0.0329497 13.488 < 0.0001 % of Vote for Sanders % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) 0.664071 56 % of Registered Voters (No Party Preference) 0.14654 0.335629 0.436613 0.664071 intercept 0.439544 0.0737782 5.95765 < 0.0001 % of Vote for Sanders % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) < 0.0001 56 % of Registered Voters (All Third Parties) 3.71213 0.445934 8.32439 < 0.0001 intercept 0.267676 0.0253142 10.5741 < 0.0001
Share.